A lot of people have been asking me what I think about the current awards season. Here's what I think, in three words: it's anyone's game. Anyone could win anything. It's all up in the air. And that's the fun of it, because it keeps people debating.
One of my very trusted film friends and I are always discussing the awards. It's kind of our thing. Nobody else listens to us, but we listen to each other and we like it that way. Someday when we're rich and famous and everyone falls all over themselves to get our interviews, we'll look back and remember when we were the only two film students who teamed up and chatted about things we like without caring what other people thought of us. (I'm exaggerating, of course, but nobody believes me anyway.)
Our current discussion is around the Golden Globes. It's rather entertaining. Just in case you're interested in hearing yet another set of opinions:
CS: The Globes are the Oscars' little annoying brother who wants attention. I expect a large showing for Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln, and hopefully Les Miserables on Thursday.
CS: Although to be fair: Amy Poehler and Tina Fey hosting > Seth McFarlane hosting
AH: AGREED!!!! I am actually super-excited about Poehler and Fey! Is McFarlane the host for the Oscars?
CS: Yep yep
AH: I
used to say that anyone is better than the horrible Franco/Hathaway
disaster of '11. I hope I don't have to revise that statement.
CS: Well, all you really need to do is show up and you're better than Franco/Hathaway. Even Franco failed to do that. Look on the bright side: this is the most wide-open award season since 2006!
AH: Agreed.
It could literally be ANYONE. There are a few things people are talking
Oscars, but for the most part we're all kindof scratching our heads.
And it's awesome. Also,
have there been changes in the Academy in the past few years? They seem
like they are more open to some things than they used to be.
AH: HAHAHA
I just saw your comment on the Globes being the annoying little
brother...And yet somehow the Globes are the party that nobody respects
but everyone wants to go to.
CS: The ones I remember: 1.
Best Picture can be anywhere from 5 - 10 movies, depending on who can
get at least 5% of the number 1 votes. Last year was the first time
doing this and we (miraculously) had 9.2. Visual Effects and Original Song will be 5 nominees instead of 2 or 3.
CS: And
on the topic of the Globes: it's because it's very star heavy. If you
look at its nominees in the past, it LOVES nominating star names over
Oscar contenders who are unknown.
AH: 1) I LOVE that new rule. It eliminates the "filler" nominees and allows flexibility for "good" and "bad" years. 2) I am pretty excited about those cats also. 3) The Globes are nothing more than a popularity contest, but somehow it's funny. It's more lighthearted, it seems.
AH: I
dunno, it just seems like the Oscars are a teensy bit less pretentious
than they used to be. That, and it seems that there is a notable
increase in foreign/international productions. (Can we just say these
past few years have been the new British invasion?)
CS: I
don't know, I go back and forth on how the most recent winners fare
with past years. It's true that the past 12 winners feature a very wide
range of genres as opposed to 80s and 90s where most of the winners were
dramas or period dramas. (From 2000 - 2012, you had four dramas, two thrillers, one sandals epic, one fantasy, one sports movie, and one war movie.) Who do you think will win this year for Best Director/Picture?
AH: For
the Globes? I don't even know. The buzz is all over the place. For
Drama, I'm thinking either Lincoln or Zero Dark Thirty. (But Argo had a
decent run, so I'm not sure.) For Comedy/Musical, I'm guessing Les Miserables or Silver Linings Playbook. (As much as I think Moonrise Kingdom had a good shot, the opera is more "awards friendly" and the Book has people talking.) For
Director...Idunno, bro, Spielberg is always a good candidate, but
Tarantino has a good bid this time, and Affleck and Bigelow have alot of
buzz.
CS: I
agree for the most part on all counts except I don't know if the
critically lauded Zero Dark Thirty will make BP/BD or if the
easier-to-swallow Lincoln wins kudos for Spielberg's return to dramatic
fare, especially since Lincoln has Best Actor, Supporting Actor, and Adapted Screenplay close to victory. (I
hear you on Moonrise Kingdom. There's still a few us who believe it
could get a BP nomination come Thursday considering it was nominated for
the Producers Guild this past weekend.) What about the Oscars? Also, Director's Guild nominated today: Affleck, Spielberg, Hooper, Ang Lee, and Bigelow!
AH: Well,
Spielberg was awfully talked-up for War Horse, which I think had a
stronger bid for BP than Lincoln does...but unfortunately for War Horse,
the horse couldn't factor into the acting awards, so Day-Lewis adds to
Lincoln's bid there, as does the glowing
nostalgia pervading the whole thing. To me, Spielberg is kindof like
Scorsese in that he can always be a contender who may or may not win. I'm thinking it's Lincoln, but ZDT is still in the race as far as I can tell. Moonrise
seems to be a dark horse contender that doesn't really belong but
everyone would be happy anyway if it won...and, as we all know far too
well, dark horse nominees can often sweep the awards right out from
under the "big" players. I just don't think it has a good enough
campaign and the grassroots movement for it is subdued. For
the Oscars, I think the nominations will be mostly on par with the
Globes noms, even though it happens every year that films/filmmakers who
win surprise Globes are the new big players for Oscars. After the
Globes on Weds, I think it will be a little clearer for the noms but
still murky as to who might win. I just think it's all really up in the
air, much like last year...which makes for fun debates, yes?
CS: Mhmm,
I think Lincoln has a chance too considering how long it's been since
they've given the nom/win to him (a la Scorsese in the aughts.) However
today's Bafta nominations are troubling: once again Lincoln is in the
lead, but they failed to honor Spielberg in directing! Interestingly
enough, Life of Pi is doing extremely well all over the place. Have you
seen it? Me
neither, sadly. Although there is some good news for us Moonrise
lovers: it still has a shot at nabbing Original Screenplay for the win,
depending on how much the Academy loved Zero Dark Thirty. Well,
last year's did throw everyone for a loop with the inclusion of
"Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close" and "Tree of Life". I'm expecting
at least one huge surprise tomorrow.
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